FOX Sports Betting Analyst
It’s no surprise that Brazil are at the top of the World Cup odds table and getting their fair share of attention, less than two weeks before the 32-team tournament kicks off on FOX.
France, defending champion, is also very close to the top. And the other usual suspects are also on the odds board, including Spain, Germany, England and second-choice Argentina.
But Americans – and often American bettors – love underdogs. The United States Men’s National Team (USMNT) is certainly that, and apparently a lot of people feel it’s their patriotic duty to throw a few bucks at the massive long shot. At FOX Bet, the USMNT is currently taking more bets than any other team to win the World Cup.
For Dylan Brossman, senior director of trading operations for FOX Bet, the flood of American punters supporting Team USA is expected.
“It’s no surprise that the United States has the most tickets at this point,” Brossman said. “Just behind [Team USA] are Brazil and Germany.”
But there is a huge gap between the USMNT and Brazil/Germany in the World Cup futures odds. At FOX Bet, Brazil is the +375 favorite to lift the trophy, and Germany is the +1000 sixth choice.
Meanwhile, Team USA is the 200-1 co-17th pick. This means that a $100 bet would – very hypothetically – win $20,000 if the United States won the World Cup.
And the odds for Team USA have fallen as the November 20 tournament begins.
“The average price we have [offered] in the United States at this point is around 99-1,” Brossman said. “We have [offered] at several prices, from 100-1 to 150-1 to 200-1.”
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leader of loss
With Team USA at the top of ticket counts and at such high odds – even a $10 bet at this point nets a nifty $2,000 at FOX Bet – the liability adds up quickly. FOX Bet wouldn’t necessarily mind the USMNT having a good tournament, maybe making it out of the group stage and making it to the knockout stages.
But Americans reaching the final would be cause for concern for Brossman and the risk room.
“They are by far our biggest liability, thanks to this award,” Brossman said. “We would have a rather negative result if the United States succeeded in the impossible.”
The odds indicate that the United States winning anything is next to impossible. From a book’s point of view, a liability is only a liability if it comes true.
If you think it’s your patriotic duty to put a few bucks on Team USA, absolutely do it. Most importantly, have fun with it. Treat the World Cup like March madness. As we have seen in recent tournaments, an underdog always has a chance.
Patrick Everson is a sports betting analyst for FOX Sports and a senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He is a distinguished journalist in the national sports betting space. He is based in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golfing in the 110 degree heat. Follow him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas.
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