It’s another night here at BCB After Dark: the event for night owls, early risers, new parents and overseas Cub fans. It’s been a quiet night around here, so if you need a break, come in and join us. Please come for shelter from the cold. We can check your coat for you. There are still good tables available. The show will start shortly. Bring your own drink.
BCB after dark is where you can talk about baseball, music, movies, or whatever else you need to relax, as long as it’s within the site rules. Night owls are encouraged to get the party started, but everyone else is welcome to join in the revival the next morning and into the afternoon.
Last night I asked you what you would have thought of a Willson Contreras-for-Jose-Urquidy deal, had it been done last August. We go to Steve Kornacki with the results, and he tells us that 42% went “Yay” and 27% said “No!” We still don’t know how the 32% who chose “meh” will fare.
On Tuesday evening/Wednesday morning, I don’t do a film test. However, Steve Kornacki is now planning Call Northside 777 as the winner of our movie poll. So I plan to write about this movie tomorrow night. It makes me really happy, because I just watched this movie last weekend.
But I still have time for jazz, so those of you who jump can do it now. You won’t hurt my feelings.
I don’t know for sure if that’s true or not, but I feel like there’s a more positive response to my jazz picks when it’s a cover of a popular pop song. So here’s bassist Marcus Miller at a jazz festival in Belgium earlier this year, doing “Come Together” by a songwriter couple you might have heard of.
Everyone who skips The Beatles is welcome.
Left-hander Drew Smyly declined mutual contract option and became a free agent today. Smyly, 33, was a pleasant surprise in the Cubs’ rotation last season, going 7-8 with a 3.47-of-106 ERA 1⁄3 innings and 22 starts.
Smyly said he would like to return to the Cubs next year, but clearly a one-year, $10 million contract would have been significantly less than what he could get on the open market.
So tonight, I’m going to ask you what it would take for Smyly to return to the Cubs. From what I understand, Smyly seeks stability more than money. He wants a multi-year contract, possibly the last of his career.
So here’s my guess, and I’m going to borrow Al’s system for asking probing questions. If I’m Jed Hoyer, I’m offering Smyly a two-year, $24 million deal with a $12 million team option for 2025 that becomes guaranteed if Smyly makes 25 starts in 2024. That gives the Cubs a some protection if he gets hurt.
It’s a slight increase for Smyly and he will know where he is going to be for the next two years. Or even the next three years if he can stay healthy. By then, he will be 37 and likely contemplating retirement.
On the other hand, Smyly turns 34 next June (he was a “young” 33 this year) and his results outperformed his peripherals last year. (His xFIP was 4.18) He also struggled to stay healthy throughout his career, so maybe you don’t want to give him a multi-year deal.
So will Drew Smyly return to the Cubs in 2023 on the contract I’m offering?
Should the Cubs sign Drew Smyly?
Yes, at or near the terms I offered
Yeah, but he’ll get more than that
Yes, but he will sign for less money or years
No. Let him go.
30 voices in total
Thank you very much for stopping by. We hope you were able to relax and enjoy yourself for a while. If you checked your coat, let us find it for you. Stay warm tonight. Get home safely. Tip your server. And join us next week for another edition of BCB after dark.